Exhibit 4-4

question 27

Short Answer

Exhibit 4-4.An investor is keeping a careful eye on the real estate markets in Las Vegas and the Inland Empire.The following are her predictions for the real estate market in 2012.
• With 0.32 probability,foreclosures will increase in Las Vegas.
• With 0.46 probability,foreclosures will increase in Las Vegas or the Inland Empire.
• With 0.27 probability,foreclosures will increase in Las Vegas and the Inland Empire.
Refer to Exhibit 4-4.What is the probability that foreclosures will increase in the Inland Empire given that they increased in Vegas?

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Definitions:

Skills

The abilities or expertise acquired through training or experience that can be applied effectively to specific tasks or situations.

Old-age Transition Stage

A phase in human development characterized by the shift into older adulthood, often involving significant personal, social, and health adjustments.

Mortality

The state of being mortal or susceptible to death; it can also refer to the death rate within a population.

Late Adulthood Transition

Late adulthood transition refers to the stage in human development characterized by changes and adjustments in lifestyle, roles, and health that occur in older age, typically considered to begin around the age of 65.