Suppose You Read in the Paper That Government Purchases Will

question 47

Essay

Suppose you read in the paper that government purchases will decrease by $50 billion. Next to the article are three forecasting companies' predictions of the effect the reduction in government purchases will have on real GDP. The predictions are:
Firm A: There will be no other changes in spending, and real GDP will fall by $50 billion.
Firm B: There will be no other changes in spending, and real GDP will fall by $75 billion.
Firm C: Investment will increase by $50 billion, and real GDP will remain the same.
Which forecast do you believe?

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Definitions:

Generate Alternatives

The process of developing multiple options or solutions to a problem or situation.

Preferences

Individual tendencies or choices toward certain options over others, often based on values, beliefs, or personal tastes.

Z Problem-Solving Model

A decision-making framework that alternates between analytical and intuitive thinking strategies.

Nonpreferences

Choices or options that are less desirable or not preferred by an individual or group when making decisions.