Which of the Following Statements Regarding Calibration Is FALSE

question 29

Multiple Choice

Which of the following statements regarding calibration is FALSE?

• A)A calibrated person is one who,when asked a large number of questions,will get about as many correct as he or she expected.
• B)An uncalibrated person who is systematically overconfident may be 90% confident of his or her correctness over a large number of questions,where in the end that person will only get 60% or 70% of them correct.
• C)Calibration is achieved through the use of heuristics,which improves the quality of experts' estimates.
• D)If the environment is predictable and an expert has learned through calibration training to identify the situations where intuition misleads him or her,then the feedback will have corrected the expert's intuitions.

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Definitions:

Mental Grouping

The cognitive process of organizing concepts, objects, or ideas into categories based on common properties to simplify understanding and memory.

Step-by-Step

Involves breaking down information, processes, or problems into smaller, manageable parts to facilitate understanding or completion.

Belief Perseverance

Clinging to one's initial conceptions after the basis on which they were formed has been discredited.

Availability Heuristic

Estimating the likelihood of events based on their availability in memory; if instances come readily to mind (perhaps because of their vividness), we presume such events are common.