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Exhibit 12.5 The Following Questions Use the Information Below

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Exhibit 12.5
The following questions use the information below.
The owner of Sal's Italian Restaurant wants to study the growth of his business using simulation. He is interested in simulating the number of customers and the amount ordered by customers each month. He currently serves 1000 customers per month and feels this can vary uniformly between a decrease of as much as 5% and an increase of up to 9%. The bill for each customer is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of $20 and a standard deviation of $5. The average order has been increasing steadily over the years and the owner expects the mean order will increase by 2% per month. You have created the following spreadsheet to simulate the problem. Exhibit 12.5 The following questions use the information below. The owner of Sal's Italian Restaurant wants to study the growth of his business using simulation. He is interested in simulating the number of customers and the amount ordered by customers each month. He currently serves 1000 customers per month and feels this can vary uniformly between a decrease of as much as 5% and an increase of up to 9%. The bill for each customer is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of $20 and a standard deviation of $5. The average order has been increasing steadily over the years and the owner expects the mean order will increase by 2% per month. You have created the following spreadsheet to simulate the problem.     -The term queuing theory refers to the body of knowledge dealing with waiting lines. Exhibit 12.5 The following questions use the information below. The owner of Sal's Italian Restaurant wants to study the growth of his business using simulation. He is interested in simulating the number of customers and the amount ordered by customers each month. He currently serves 1000 customers per month and feels this can vary uniformly between a decrease of as much as 5% and an increase of up to 9%. The bill for each customer is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of $20 and a standard deviation of $5. The average order has been increasing steadily over the years and the owner expects the mean order will increase by 2% per month. You have created the following spreadsheet to simulate the problem.     -The term queuing theory refers to the body of knowledge dealing with waiting lines.
-The term queuing theory refers to the body of knowledge dealing with waiting lines.


Definitions:

Satisficing

A decision-making strategy that involves choosing an option that meets a minimum level of satisfaction rather than optimizing.

Best Possible Decision

The most favorable outcome derived from available alternatives, taking into account all known information, restrictions, and goals.

Confirmation Bias

The inclination to seek out, interpret, prefer, and remember information that corroborates an individual's already existing beliefs or assumptions.

Problem Identification

The process of recognizing and defining an issue that impedes the achievement of a goal.

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