Exhibit 14.13 The Following Questions Use the Information Below

question 21

Essay

Exhibit 14.13
The following questions use the information below.
A student wants to buy a new car. She has three cars to choose from, A, B and C. The cars differ with respect to price, performance and looks. The student has developed the following AHP tables for price and summary. The other tables are not shown due to space limitations.
-A company is planning a plant expansion. They can build a large or small plant. The payoffs for the plant depend on the level of consumer demand for the company's products. The company believes that there is a 72% chance that demand for their products will be high and a 28% chance that it will be low. The company can pay a market research firm to survey consumer attitudes towards the company's products. There is a 76% chance that the customers will like the products and a 24% chance that they won't. The payoff matrix and costs of the two plants are listed below. The company believes that if the survey is favorable there is an 87% chance that demand will be high for the products. If the survey is unfavorable there is only a 25% chance that the demand will be high. Draw the decision tree for the problem when the survey is performed before the plant size decision is made. ​

---

Definitions:

Perception

The process by which individuals interpret and organize sensory information to understand their environment.

Psychological Disorders

Conditions characterized by abnormal thoughts, feelings, and behaviors.

Stressful Event

Any situation or event that significantly strains an individual's coping mechanisms, potentially leading to physical or psychological stress reactions.

Heredity

The transmission of genetic characteristics from parents to offspring.