The following are the values of a time series for the first four time periods: 
Using a four-period moving average,the forecasted value for time period 5 is:
Definitions:
Alienated Followers
Individuals within a group or organization who feel estranged or disconnected from the group's goals or leadership.
Passive Behavior
A non-assertive response pattern where individuals avoid direct confrontation or asserting their own preferences and needs.
Independently
Acting or thinking in a manner that is free from outside control or influence.
Path-Goal Theory
A leadership theory that suggests leaders should adjust their leadership style based on the motivation and behavior of their followers to achieve desired outcomes.
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