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Suppose That in a Binomial Model, the Stock Moves Up U=eΣh\mathcal { U } = e ^ { \Sigma \sqrt { h } }

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Suppose that in a binomial model, the stock moves up by a factor U=eΣh\mathcal { U } = e ^ { \Sigma \sqrt { h } } and down by a factor d=eσhd = e ^ { - \sigma - \sqrt { h } } , where hch _ { c } is time in years. Letting h=h = one month and u=1.05u = 1.05 , what is the annualized volatility σ\sigma of the stock?


Definitions:

Standard Deviation

A measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values.

Confidence Interval

An estimated range of values which is likely to include an unknown population parameter, calculated from a given set of sample data.

Margin of Error

An expression of the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results, indicating a range within which the true value lies at a certain confidence level.

Probability

The extent to which an event is likely to occur, measured by the ratio of the favorable cases to the whole number of cases possible.

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