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Suppose that UBM Corp. has invested $100 million in 8% risk-free bonds that mature in one-year. The firm also has $80 million in debt outstanding that will also mature in a year. UBM shareholders are considering selling the $100 million in debt and investing in a project that has a 60% chance of returning $200 million and a 40% chance of returning $2 million. What will the equity value of UBM be in one-year without stockholders taking on the project?
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