Psychologist Philip Tetlock Collected More Than 27,000 Expert Predictions of World

question 26

Multiple Choice

Psychologist Philip Tetlock collected more than 27,000 expert predictions of world events.He repeatedly found that experts were ________ percent confident in their prediction but were correct less than ________ percent of the time.

• A) 40;80
• B) 50;70
• C) 60;20
• D) 80;40

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Definitions:

Work Ethic

A set of values of hard work held by employees.

Organizational Skills

The ability to efficiently manage time, tasks, and resources to achieve goals and meet deadlines.

Aquarium

A tank of water for fish, aquatic plants, and other water organisms for study, observation, or display.

Hiring Process

The sequence of steps an organization takes to attract, select, and appoint suitable candidates for jobs.