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Predicting the Direction of Interest Rate Movements Is Relatively Easy

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Predicting the direction of interest rate movements is relatively easy.


Definitions:

Variance

A statistical measurement of the dispersion of a set of values, indicating how much the numbers in the set deviate from the mean or average of the set.

Deviations

Statistical variances or differences from a central value, such as the mean, indicating how spread out data points are.

Mean

A statistical measure of central tendency, commonly understood as the average value of a set of numbers.

Expected Return

The anticipated amount of gain or loss that an investor can expect from an investment, based on historical or projected returns.

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