Natick Nurseries Has Used Scenario Analysis to Evaluate the Purchase

question 29

Multiple Choice

Natick Nurseries has used scenario analysis to evaluate the purchase of a former dairy to use for nursery stock. The best case scenario produced a very favorable NPV of $4,000,000; the NPV of the most likely case was $2,000,000, but the worst case scenario resulted in an NPV of $(3,000,000) which would bring the company close to bankruptcy. Natick could improve its decision by

• A) using sensitivity analysis.
• B) using simulation analysis.
• C) simply accepting the best case scenario and rejecting the other outcomes.
• D) weighting the favorable scenarios more heavily to increase the expected NPV.

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Definitions:

Unit Price

The cost per unit of a product or service.

Constant Cost

An economic scenario where the cost of producing an additional unit of a good or service remains unchanged, regardless of the scale of production.

Equilibrium Quantity

The quantity of goods supplied is equal to the quantity demanded at a given price level.

Equilibrium Price

The price at which the quantity of a good supplied equals the quantity demanded, resulting in no surplus or shortage in the market.