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An Energy Analyst Wants to Test If U

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An energy analyst wants to test if U.S.oil production is random over time.The analyst has monthly production values for the two years.The analyst finds 12 months are above the median,12 months are below the median,six runs are below the median,and five runs are above the median.Assuming R has the standard normal distribution,the p-value for the test is _________.


Definitions:

Risk-free Asset

An investment with a certain rate of return, typically considered to be government bonds or similar vehicles with no risk of financial loss.

Total Risk

The overall uncertainty associated with an investment decision, encompassing both systematic and unsystematic risk.

CAPM

Capital Asset Pricing Model; a formula used to determine the expected return on an investment, factoring in its risk relative to the market.

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