An investor in Apple is worried the latest management earnings forecast is too aggressive and the company will fall short.His favorite analyst that covers Apple is going to release his report on Apple the week before the earnings announcement.Report stands for the analyst's report,and Forecast stands for the earnings announcement. 
What is the probability the earnings announcement is below the forecast?
Definitions:
Economic Gains
Increases in wealth, financial health, or resources, often measured in terms of income, profits, or value.
National Boundaries
Geographically defined borders that separate the territory of one nation-state from another.
Developing Countries
Nations with lower living standards, underdeveloped industrial bases, and low Human Development Index relative to other countries.
Economic Potential
The maximum output an economy can produce without increasing inflation, considering available resources, technology, and workforce skills.
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