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The Value of a Long Position in a Forward Contract

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The value of a long position in a forward contract at expiration is


Definitions:

Carrier Pigeons

Birds historically used to transport messages across long distances before the advent of electronic communication.

Probability Of Arriving

Refers to the chance or likelihood that something will reach a particular destination within a given period.

Standard Deviation

A measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values.

MTBF

Mean Time Between Failures, a reliability metric that measures the average time between system failures in a process or product.

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