The Tendency to Overestimate One's Ability to Have Predicted an Event

question 86

Multiple Choice

The tendency to overestimate one's ability to have predicted an event once the outcome is known is called

• A)a mental set.
• B)hindsight bias.
• C)confirmation bias.
• D)fairness bias.

---

Definitions:

King Philip's War

A conflict between American Indian inhabitants of present-day New England and English colonists and their Indian allies in 1675–1678.

Algonquians

A group of Native American peoples speaking Algonquian languages, originally inhabiting areas of North America from the Atlantic coast to the Great Lakes region.

Metacom

A Native American leader, also known as King Philip, who led a major rebellion against the colonists in New England in the 17th century.

Dominion of Virginia

Refers to the English colonial possession in North America that existed from 1607 (with the founding of Jamestown) until the American Revolution, known for its role in the development of American democracy and plantation economy.