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The Only Car Dealership in a Community Stocks Cars from Two

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The only car dealership in a community stocks cars from two manufacturers, Fret and Cessy. The following transition matrix shows the probabilities of a customer purchasing each brand of car in the next year given that he or she purchased that car in the current year.  From / To  Fret  Cessy  Fret .7.3 Cessy .4.6\begin{array} { l c c c } \text { From } / & \text { To } & \text { Fret } & \text { Cessy } \\\hline \text { Fret } & & .7 & .3 \\\text { Cessy } & & .4 & .6 \\\hline\end{array} Given that a customer purchased the brand Fret in the present year (year 1) , determine the probability that a customer will purchase Cessy in year 3.


Definitions:

Sophisticated Quantity Theory

An advanced approach to Quantity Theory of Money, considering complex factors influencing money supply and demand.

Deflation

A decline in the price level for at least two years.

Keynesians

Economists and thinkers following the theories of John Maynard Keynes, who advocate for active government intervention in the economy to manage demand and avoid economic recessions.

Capitalism

An economic system in which most economic decisions are made by private owners and most of the means of production are privately owned.

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