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The President of State University Wants to Forecast Student Enrollment

question 61

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The president of State University wants to forecast student enrollment for this academic year based on the following historical data:
 Year  Enrollnents 5 years ago 15,0004 years ago 16,0003 years ago 18,000 2 years ago 20,000 Luast year 21,000\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Enrollnents } \\\hline 5 \text { years ago } & 15,000 \\\hline 4 \text { years ago } & 16,000 \\\hline 3 \text { years ago } & 18,000 \\\hline \text { 2 years ago } & 20,000 \\\hline \text { Luast year } & 21,000 \\\hline\end{array}
What is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with trend if ? = 0.5 and ? = 0.3? Assume the forecast for last year was 21,000 and the forecast for two years ago was 19,000, and that the trend estimate for last year's forecast was 1,500.


Definitions:

FIFO Method

First-In, First-Out, an inventory valuation method where the oldest inventory items are sold or used first.

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