An Operation Analyst Is Forecasting This Year's Demand for One

question 42

Multiple Choice

An operation analyst is forecasting this year's demand for one of his company's products based on the following historical data:
$$\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \text { \# Sald } \\\hline 4 \text { years ago } & 10,000 \\\hline 3 \text { years ago } & 12,000 \\\hline \text { 2 years ago } & 18,000 \\\hline \text { Last year } & 20,000 \\\hline\end{array}$$
What is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with ? = 0.2, if the forecast for last year was 15,000?

• A) 20,000
• B) 19,000
• C) 17,500
• D) 16,000
• E) 15,000

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Definitions:

Machine Hours

A measure of the amount of time a machine is operated, used as a basis for allocating manufacturing overhead costs to products.

Variable Manufacturing Overhead

The portion of manufacturing overhead costs that varies with production volume.

Indirect Labor

Labor costs associated with workers who are not directly involved in producing goods but support the production process.

Fixed Overhead Costs

Expenses that do not change with the level of production or business activity, such as rent, salaries, and insurance.