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The Head of Operations for a Movie Studio Wants to Determine

question 3

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The head of operations for a movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production. She feels that script #1 has a 70% chance of earning $100 million over the long run, but a 30% chance of losing $20 million. If this movie is successful, then a sequel could also be produced, with an 80% chance of earning $50 million, but a 20% chance of losing $10 million. On the other hand, she feels that script #2 has a 60 % chance of earning $120 million, but a 40% chance of losing $30 million. If successful, its sequel would have a 50% chance of earning $80 million and a 50% chance of losing $40 million. As with the first script, if the original movie is a "flop," then no sequel would be produced.
What is the expected payoff from selecting script #1?

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Definitions:

Team-based Bonus

Incentive rewards given to a group of employees for achieving specific goals or performance levels, intended to foster teamwork and collective effort.

Production Department

The division within an organization responsible for manufacturing its products or services, involving the transformation of raw materials into finished goods.

Reward Systems

Structures and policies within an organization designed to incentivize and recognize employee performance and achievements.

Personal Goal Setting

The practice of identifying specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound objectives that one wishes to accomplish within a certain timeframe.

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