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Two Professors at a Nearby University Want to Co-Author a New

question 55

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Two professors at a nearby university want to co-author a new textbook in either economics or statistics. They feel that if they write an economics book they have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies. If they can't get a major publisher to take it, then they feel they have an 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with sales of 30,000 copies. On the other hand if they write a statistics book, they feel they have a 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher, and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies. If they can't get a major publisher to take it, they feel they have a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies.
What is the probability that the economics book would wind up being placed with a smaller publisher?


Definitions:

Emergency

A critical situation that arises suddenly and requires immediate action to prevent or mitigate harm to individuals or property.

Negative Evaluation

The process of critically assessing something in a manner that highlights its faults or shortcomings.

Empathy

The ability to understand and share the feelings of another, putting oneself in their shoes emotionally.

Altruistic Behavior

Actions intended to benefit others without expectation of reward for oneself.

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