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Suppose the U.S. dollar interest rate is 5% and the euro interest rate is 6%. Assume no transaction costs, fees, or commissions. In all markets, the spot rate for euros is $1.25. You believe in one year's time the spot rate for euros will be $1.30. An investor would like to invest $100,000 for one year and is willing to take on risk for a higher return.
I. How would you advise him?
II. What if you are incorrect and the euro rate is lower? Calculate the "break-even" exchange rate; that is, an investment that returns the same as investing $100,000 at 5%.


Definitions:

Investing Activities

Financial actions related to the purchase and sale of long-term assets and investments, which are reflected on the cash flow statement.

Operating Activities

Part of a company's cash flow statement that shows the cash generated or used by its core business operations.

Equity Method

An accounting technique used to reflect the investment in another company, typically applied when an investing entity holds significant influence over the investee.

Investee Earnings

The share of income that an investor recognizes from its investment in another entity.

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