The EMV of a Decision with Three States of Nature

question 5

Essay

The EMV of a decision with three states of nature is $33,000. If the profit/value under the states of nature A, B, and C is $10,000, $20,000, and $50,000, respectively, and states B and C have equal probabilities, determine the likelihood of state of nature A.

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Definitions:

Economic Profit

The net gain or loss after removing both easily identifiable and not readily apparent expenses from the overall turnover.

Price

The amount of money or compensation given in exchange for goods or services in a market.

Diagram

A simplified representation or drawing that illustrates relationships or processes, often used in economics to demonstrate concepts or data visually.

Economic Profit

The difference between total revenues and total costs, including both explicit and implicit costs, representing the additional benefit over the next best alternative.