Suppose a Manufacturing Plant Is Considering Three Options for Expansion

question 54

Essay

Suppose a manufacturing plant is considering three options for expansion. The first one is to expand into a new plant (large), the second to add on third-shift to the daily schedule (medium), and the third to do nothing (small). There are three possibilities for demand. These are high, medium, and low with each having an equal likelihood of occurring. Suppose that the profits for the expansion plans are as follows (respective to high, medium, low demand). The large expansion profits are $100000, $10000, -$10000, the medium expansion choice $40000, $40000, $5000 and the small expansion choice $15000, $15000, $15000. Calculate the EMV of each choice. Which of the expansion plans should the manager choose?

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Definitions:

Thurstone's Model

A theory of intelligence that proposes seven primary mental abilities as the basis of intelligence.

Primary Abilities

Primary abilities refer to fundamental cognitive skills in specific domains, such as verbal reasoning or spatial understanding, crucial for overall intellectual functioning.

Fluid Intelligence

The capacity to think logically and solve problems in novel situations, independent of acquired knowledge.

Accommodation

In psychology, a cognitive process that involves adjusting our existing knowledge structures in response to new experiences.