Consider the Disaster Risk Decision Tree Model

question 30

Essay

Consider the disaster risk decision tree model.
(a)Derive a formula to represent the amount that the probability of all suppliers being disrupted simultaneously,P(n),will increase if the super-event probability S is doubled.
(b)Test your formula by computing the amount of increase if the original S equals 1% and there are two suppliers,each with U = 4%.

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Definitions:

Urophilia

A paraphilia in which a person gets sexual pleasure from contact with urine.

Klismaphilia

A sexual arousal derived from the introduction of liquids into the rectum and colon via the anus.

Coprophilia

A paraphilia in which a person gets sexual pleasure from contact with feces.

Prostitutes

Individuals who engage in sexual activity with others in exchange for money or other forms of compensation.