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An Operations Manager's Staff Has Compiled the Information Below for Four

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An operations manager's staff has compiled the information below for four manufacturing alternatives (E,F,G,and H)that vary by production technology and the capacity of the machinery.All choices enable the same level of total production and have the same lifetime.The four states of nature represent four levels of consumer acceptance of the firm's products.Values in the table are net present value of future profits in millions of dollars.Forecasts indicate that there is a 0.1 probability of acceptance level 1,0.2 chance of acceptance level 2,0.4 chance of acceptance level 3,and 0.3 change of acceptance level 4. An operations manager's staff has compiled the information below for four manufacturing alternatives (E,F,G,and H)that vary by production technology and the capacity of the machinery.All choices enable the same level of total production and have the same lifetime.The four states of nature represent four levels of consumer acceptance of the firm's products.Values in the table are net present value of future profits in millions of dollars.Forecasts indicate that there is a 0.1 probability of acceptance level 1,0.2 chance of acceptance level 2,0.4 chance of acceptance level 3,and 0.3 change of acceptance level 4.   Using the criterion of expected monetary value,which production alternative should be chosen? Using the criterion of expected monetary value,which production alternative should be chosen?


Definitions:

Sales Revenues

Revenue generated through the sales of goods or services throughout a certain period.

Credit Sales

Sales made by a business wherein the payment is postponed, leading to the creation of an account receivable.

Cost Of Goods Sold

The direct costs attributable to the production of the goods sold by a company, including both materials and labor expenses.

Inventory

Items held by a company for sale in the ordinary course of business or to be used in the production of goods sold.

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