Steve Gentry,the Operations Manager of Baja Fabricators,wants to Purchase a New

question 7

Essay

Steve Gentry,the operations manager of Baja Fabricators,wants to purchase a new profiling machine (it cuts compound angles on the ends of large structural pipes used in the fabrication yard).However,because the price of crude oil is depressed,the market for such equipment is down.Steve believes that the market will improve in the near future and that the company should expand its capacity.The table below displays the three equipment options he is currently considering,and the profit he expects each one to yield over a two-year period.The consensus forecast at Baja is that there is about a 30% probability that the market will pick up "soon" (within 3 to 6 months)and a 70% probability that the improvement will come "later" (in 9 to 12 months,perhaps longer). a.Calculate the expected monetary value of each decision alternative.
b.Which equipment option should Steve take?

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Definitions:

Contingent Liability

A potential financial obligation that may arise depending on the outcome of a future event.

Nontaxable Life Insurance

A type of life insurance policy where the proceeds paid on death or the cash value accumulation during the policyholder's lifetime are not subject to income taxes.

Warranty Expenses

Costs associated with the obligation to repair, replace, or remediate goods that have not met the selling criteria or customer expectations.

Pretax Financial Income

Income calculated before taxes are applied, representing a company's earnings based solely on its operations and other financial activities.