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A management analyst is using exponential smoothing to predict merchandise returns at an upscale branch of a department store chain. Given an actual number of returns of 154 items in the most recent period completed, a forecast of 172 items for that period, and a smoothing constant of 0.3, what is the forecast for the next period? How would the forecast be changed if the smoothing constant were 0.6? Explain the difference in terms of alpha and responsiveness.
Nicotine
The active ingredient in tobacco.
Stimulant
A substance that raises levels of physiological or nervous activity in the body, often used to increase alertness, attention, and energy.
Sleep
A naturally recurring state of mind and body, characterized by altered consciousness, relatively inhibited sensory activity, reduced muscle activity, and inhibition of nearly all voluntary muscles during rapid eye movement (REM) sleep phases.
Aging
The process of becoming older, which includes biological, emotional, intellectual, and social changes.
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