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TABLE 16-13
Given below is the monthly time-series data for U.S.retail sales of building materials over a specific year. The results of the linear trend,quadratic trend,exponential trend,first-order autoregressive,second-order autoregressive and third-order autoregressive model are presented below in which the coded month for the 1st month is 0:
Linear trend model: Quadratic trend model:
Exponential trend model:
First-order autoregressive:
Second-order autoregressive:
Third-order autoregressive:
Below is the residual plot of the various models:
-True or False: Referring to Table 16-13,you can conclude that the second-order autoregressive model is appropriate at the 5% level of significance.
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