TABLE 16-13 Given Below Is the Monthly Time-Series Data for U.S.retail Sales

question 28

Short Answer

TABLE 16-13
Given below is the monthly time-series data for U.S.retail sales of building materials over a specific year. The results of the linear trend,quadratic trend,exponential trend,first-order autoregressive,second-order autoregressive and third-order autoregressive model are presented below in which the coded month for the 1^st month is 0:
Linear trend model: Quadratic trend model: Exponential trend model: First-order autoregressive: Second-order autoregressive: Third-order autoregressive: Below is the residual plot of the various models:
-Referring to Table 16-13,what is your forecast for the 13^th month using the exponential-trend model?

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Definitions:

Process Variation

The fluctuation or inconsistency in the procedures and outcomes of manufacturing or service delivery, impacting quality and performance.

Quality Function Deployment

A systematic approach to design based on a close awareness of customer desires, translating those desires into the target design.

Product Performance

Evaluates how well a product meets expected standards and satisfies customer needs in terms of quality, reliability, and functionality.

Deploying Quality

The process of implementing and maintaining a level of excellence in products, services, and processes within an organization.