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An Automobile Finance Company Analyzed a Sample of Recent Automobile

question 52

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An automobile finance company analyzed a sample of recent automobile loans to try to determine key factors in identifying borrowers who would be likely to default on their auto loan. The response variable Default equals 1 if the borrower defaulted during the term of the loan and 0 otherwise. The predictor variable AutoDebt% was the ratio (expressed as a percent) of the required loan payments to the borrower's take-home income at the time of purchase. JobTime was the number of years the borrower had worked at their current job at the time of purchase. CredScore was the borrower's credit score at the time of purchase. Below is part of the classification tree the finance company derived from the data collected in the study. Assume they classify those with a default probability estimate of at least .5 as Defaulters. An automobile finance company analyzed a sample of recent automobile loans to try to determine key factors in identifying borrowers who would be likely to default on their auto loan. The response variable Default equals 1 if the borrower defaulted during the term of the loan and 0 otherwise. The predictor variable AutoDebt% was the ratio (expressed as a percent)  of the required loan payments to the borrower's take-home income at the time of purchase. JobTime was the number of years the borrower had worked at their current job at the time of purchase. CredScore was the borrower's credit score at the time of purchase. Below is part of the classification tree the finance company derived from the data collected in the study. Assume they classify those with a default probability estimate of at least .5 as Defaulters.   Based on this classification tree, a member of the study sample who had a credit score of 819, been at their current job for 3 years, took out a loan with payments equaling 15% of their income, and did not default would be A)  inaccurately classified as a Defaulter. B)  inaccurately classified as a non-Defaulter. C)  accurately classified as a Defaulter. D)  accurately classified as a non-Defaulter. Based on this classification tree, a member of the study sample who had a credit score of 819, been at their current job for 3 years, took out a loan with payments equaling 15% of their income, and did not default would be


Definitions:

Scheduled Interest Payment

This refers to the periodic interest payments that a borrower is obligated to make to a lender under the terms of a debt instrument.

Payment Default

Failure to meet the obligations of a credit agreement, such as not making the required payments on a loan or bond by the due date.

Technical Default

A situation where a borrower violates a term or condition of a loan agreement without causing financial harm to the lender.

Restricted Stock

A type of stock that is not fully transferable until certain conditions have been met, typically used as part of employee compensation packages.

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