Suppose a Linear Probability Model You Have Developed Finds There

question 63

Multiple Choice

Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin. Based on past bankruptcy experience, the linear probability model is estimated as:
PD_i = 0.20 (debt ratio) + 0.15 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt ratio of 55 percent and a profit margin of 10 percent. Calculate the firm's expected probability of default, or bankruptcy.

• A) 12.5 percent
• B) 10.0 percent
• C) 1.65 percent
• D) 10.25 percent

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Definitions:

Standard Cost Variances

The differences between the actual costs incurred and the standard costs, indicating underperformance or overperformance.

Work in Process Inventories

Goods partially completed in manufacturing or production but not yet ready for sale, representing a component of a company's inventory.

Standard Machine Setups

This term refers to the predetermined arrangements and settings on machinery for standard operations, aiming to minimize setup time and costs.

Standard Variable Overhead Rate

The predetermined rate at which variable overhead costs are expected to occur relative to a specific activity or cost driver.