Recently, a Neighbor You Have Known for Years Won a Lottery

question 1

Multiple Choice

Recently, a neighbor you have known for years won a lottery and received a $250,000 prize. This neighbor decided to invest all of his winnings in a new business venture that he knew only had a five percent chance of success. Previous to this, the neighbor had always been ultra conservative with his money and had refused to invest in this business venture as recently as last week. Which one of the following behaviors most applies to your neighbor's decision to invest in this business venture now?

• A) Over-optimism.
• B) Affect heuristic.
• C) Loss aversion.
• D) House money.
• E) False fallacy.

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Definitions:

Random Cause Variation

Variability in data or processes that is caused by numerous uncontrollable factors, observed in a natural, random spread of results.

Centerline

In the context of statistical process control charts, this is the median line around which the plotted values are expected to vary.

Random Variation

The natural fluctuation in data or process outcomes, occurring without a specific, predictable cause.

Sample Proportion

The ratio of the number of times an event occurs to the total number of observations or trials in the sample.