Given the following information, calculate the forecast (round to nearest whole number) for period four using exponential smoothing and 
=0.3.
Use a tracking signal to determine if there is a bias problem with the forecasting method.(Assume the control limit for the tracking signal is ± 3.
Definitions:
Net Present Value
A calculation used to assess the value of future cash flows in today's dollars, considering the time value of money.
Cost of Capital
The cost of funds used for financing a business, typically expressed as an annual percentage, including the cost of equity and debt.
Cash Flows
The total amount of money being transferred into and out of a business, indicating its financial health.
Break-even Quantity
The volume of production or sales at which total costs equal total revenue, meaning there is no net loss or gain.
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