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TABLE 16-5 a Contractor Developed a Multiplicative Time-Series Model to Forecast the to Forecast

question 104

Multiple Choice

TABLE 16-5
A contractor developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast the number of contracts in future quarters, using quarterly data on number of contracts during the 3-year period from 1996 to 1998. The following is the resulting regression equation:
ln Y^{^}= 3.37 + 0.117 X - 0.083 Q₁ + 1.28 Q₂ + 0.617 Q₃
where
Y^{^}is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 1996.
Q₁ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₂ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₃ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Table 16-5, the best interpretation of the coefficient of X (0.117) in the regression equation is

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Definitions:

Performance Improvement

Performance improvement involves measures or initiatives aimed at enhancing the efficiency, effectiveness, or outcome of different processes, systems, or organizations.

Shared Savings Contract

An agreement between two parties where savings generated from cost-reducing measures are divided according to a predetermined formula.

Incentives

Rewards or benefits, often used to encourage specific actions or behaviors from individuals or organizations.

Supply Chain Partner

A business entity involved in the supply chain operations, which may include suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and customers.