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TABLE 14-11
a Logistic Regression Model Was Estimated in Order

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TABLE 14-11
A logistic regression model was estimated in order to predict the probability that a randomly chosen university or college would be a private university using information on average total Scholastic Aptitude Test score (SAT) at the university or college, the room and board expense measured in thousands of dollars (Room/Brd), and whether the TOEFL criterion is at least 550 (Toefl550 = 1 if yes, 0 otherwise.) The dependent variable, Y, is school type (Type = 1 if private and 0 otherwise).
The Minitab output is given below:
Logistic Regression Table
 Odds  95: CI  Predictor  Coef  SE Coef Z P  Ratio  Lower  Upper  Constant 27.1186.6964.050.000 SAT 0.0150.0046663.170.0021.011.011.02 Toefl550 0.3900.95380.410.6820.680.104.39 Room/Brd 2.0780.50764.090.0007.992.9521.60\begin{array}{lrrrrrrr} & & & && \text { Odds } & \text { 95: CI } \\\text { Predictor } & {\text { Coef }} & \text { SE Coef } & Z &{\text { P }} & \text { Ratio } & \text { Lower } & \text { Upper } \\\text { Constant } &-27.118&6 .696& -4.05 & 0.000 & & & \\\text { SAT } & 0.015 & 0.004666 & 3.17 & 0.002 & 1.01 & 1.01 & 1.02 \\\text { Toefl550 } & -0.390 & 0.9538 & -0.41 & 0.682 & 0.68 & 0.10 & 4.39 \\\text { Room/Brd } & 2.078 & 0.5076 & 4.09 & 0.000 & 7.99 & 2.95 & 21.60\end{array}

Log-Likelihood = -21.883
Test that all slopes are zero: G = 62.083, DF = 3, P-Value = 0.000
Goodness-of-Fit Tests

 Method  Chi-Square  DF  P  Pearson 143.551760.000 Deviance 43.767760.999 Hosmer-Lemeshow 15.73180.046 \begin{array}{lrcr}\text { Method } & \text { Chi-Square } & \text { DF } & \text { P } \\ \text { Pearson } & 143.551 & 76 & 0.000 \\ \text { Deviance } & 43.767 & 76 & 0.999 \\ \text { Hosmer-Lemeshow } & 15.731 & 8 & 0.046\end{array}


-Referring to Table 14-11, what is the estimated probability that a school with an average SAT score of 1100, a TOEFL criterion that is not at least 550, and the room and board expense of 7 thousand dollars will be a private school?


Definitions:

Deskilling

Refers to the process by which work tasks are broken into simple routines requiring little training to perform. Deskilling is usually accompanied by the use of machinery to replace labor wherever possible and increased management control over workers.

Complex Tasks

Activities or problems that require a high level of cognitive processing, involving multiple steps, decision making, or the integration of various skills and knowledge.

Simple Routines

Basic, repeatable actions or practices that individuals regularly follow in their daily lives.

Division of Labor

The allocation of different tasks or jobs to different people or groups, usually based on specialization.

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