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SCENARIO 16-13
Given below is the monthly time series data for U.S.retail sales of building materials over a specific year.
The results of the linear trend,quadratic trend,exponential trend,first-order autoregressive,second-order autoregressive and third-order autoregressive model are presented below in which the coded month for the 1st month is 0:
Linear trend model:
Quadratic trend model:
Third-order autoregressive::
Below is the residual plot of the various models:
-Referring to Scenario 16-13,if a five-month moving average is used to smooth this series,how many moving averages can you compute?
APR
The Annual Percentage Rate, which reflects the cost of borrowing on a yearly basis and includes interest and other charges.
Mortgage
A loan secured by real estate property, commonly used to purchase a home.
Prepaid Interest
Interest starts accruing (building) at the beginning of each month and continues throughout the month; prepaid interest at the closing is the amount of mortgage interest due to cover the time from the closing date to when the first mortgage payment is due.
Down Payment
The upfront money applied to a purchase that is made using a loan (credit).
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