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SCENARIO 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters,using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2009 to 2013.The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10 Yˆ = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q1 - 0.054 Q2 + 0.098 Q3
where
Yˆ is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter.
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008.
Q1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q3 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Time-Series Forecasting 16-31
-Referring to Scenario 16-12,to obtain a fitted value for the fourth quarter of 2010 using the model,which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation?
Minimum Wages
The lowest legal salary per hour, day, or month that employers are allowed to pay their employees.
Unemployment
The situation of being without a job, while actively looking for one.
Unemployment Insurance
A social welfare program that provides temporary financial assistance to workers who have lost their jobs through no fault of their own.
Minimum-Wage Law
Legislation that establishes the minimum amount per hour that employers must pay their employees.
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