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SCENARIO 16-12 A Local Store Developed a Multiplicative Time-Series Model to Forecast

question 46

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SCENARIO 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters,using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2009 to 2013.The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10 Yˆ = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q1 - 0.054 Q2 + 0.098 Q3
where
Yˆ is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter.
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008.
Q1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q3 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Time-Series Forecasting 16-31
-Referring to Scenario 16-12,to obtain a fitted value for the fourth quarter of 2010 using the model,which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation?

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Definitions:

Minimum Wages

The lowest legal salary per hour, day, or month that employers are allowed to pay their employees.

Unemployment

The situation of being without a job, while actively looking for one.

Unemployment Insurance

A social welfare program that provides temporary financial assistance to workers who have lost their jobs through no fault of their own.

Minimum-Wage Law

Legislation that establishes the minimum amount per hour that employers must pay their employees.

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