Below you are given the first two values of a time series. You are also given the first two values of the exponential smoothing forecast. 
If the smoothing constant equals .2, then the exponential smoothing forecast for time period 3 is
Definitions:
Illicit Drugs
Substances whose production, sale, or use is prohibited by law due to their potential for abuse and harm.
Nonviolent Crimes
Offenses that do not involve force or injury to other people; examples include theft, fraud, illegal drug use, and white-collar crimes.
Ex-convicts
Individuals who have been convicted of a crime and have completed their sentence, often facing challenges in re-integrating into society.
HIV/AIDS
An infectious disease caused by the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) which attacks the immune system and can lead to Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS).
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