Compute the Expected Value of Perfect Information -What Is the Expected Opportunity Loss for the 1-Year ARM

question 36

Multiple Choice

Compute the expected value of perfect information.
Use the below information to answer the following question(s) . Below is a payoff table with three mortgage options: $$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | } \hline & { \text { Outcome } } \\\hline \text { Probability } & { \mathbf { 0 . 6 } } & { \mathbf { 0 . 3 } } & { \mathbf { 0 . 1 } } \\\hline \text { Decision } & \text { Rates Rise } & \text { Rates Stable } & \text { Rates Fall } \\\hline \text { 1-year ARM } & \$ 66,645 & \$ 43,650 & \$ 38,560 \\\hline \text { 3-year ARM } & \$ 62,857 & \$ 47,698 & \$ 42,726 \\\hline \text { 30-year fixed } & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-What is the expected opportunity loss for the 1-year ARM?

• A) $ 7,979.60
• B) $ 3,959.40
• C) $ 6,853.50
• D) $ 8,621.40

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Definitions:

Break-Even Point

The production level at which total revenues equal total expenses, and the company makes neither a profit nor a loss.

Sales Mix

The combination of different products or services that a company sells, represented as percentages of total sales.

Fixed Expenses

Costs that do not fluctuate with changes in production level or sales volume, such as rent, salaries, and insurance premiums.

Product W07C

Another distinct product or model, identified by the code W07C, that is produced or offered by a company.