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SCENARIO 12-11
a Computer Software Developer Would Like to Use

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SCENARIO 12-11
A computer software developer would like to use the number of downloads (in thousands) for the trial version of his new shareware to predict the amount of revenue (in thousands of dollars) he can make on the full version of the new shareware.Following is the output from a simple linear regression
along with the residual plot and normal probability plot obtained from a data set of 30 different sharewares that he has developed:
 SCENARIO 12-11 A computer software developer would like to use the number of downloads (in thousands) for the trial version of his new shareware to predict the amount of revenue (in thousands of dollars) he can make on the full version of the new shareware.Following is the output from a simple linear regression along with the residual plot and normal probability plot obtained from a data set of 30 different sharewares that he has developed:     \begin{array}{lr} {\text { Regression Statistics }} \\ \hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.8691 \\ \hline \text { R Square } & 0.7554 \\ \hline \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.7467 \\ \hline \text { Standard Error } & 44.4765 \\ \hline \text { Observations } & 30.0000 \\ \hline \end{array}    \text { ANOVA }    \begin{array}{|l|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline &\text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & F & \text { Significance } F \\  \hline \text { Regression } & 1 & 171062.9193 & 171062.9193 & 86.4759 & 0.0000 \\ \hline \text { Residual } & 28 & 55388.4309 & 1978.1582 & & \\ \hline \text { Total } & 29 & 226451.3503 & & \\ \hline \end{array}          Simple Linear Regression 12-41   -Referring to Scenario 12-11, there is sufficient evidence that revenue and the number of downloads are linearly related at a 5% level of significance.  Regression Statistics  Multiple R 0.8691 R Square 0.7554 Adjusted R Square 0.7467 Standard Error 44.4765 Observations 30.0000\begin{array}{lr}{\text { Regression Statistics }} \\\hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.8691 \\\hline \text { R Square } & 0.7554 \\\hline \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.7467 \\\hline \text { Standard Error } & 44.4765 \\\hline \text { Observations } & 30.0000 \\\hline\end{array}

 ANOVA \text { ANOVA }
 df  SS  MS F Significance F Regression 1171062.9193171062.919386.47590.0000 Residual 2855388.43091978.1582 Total 29226451.3503\begin{array}{|l|r|r|r|r|r|}\hline &\text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & F & \text { Significance } F \\ \hline \text { Regression } & 1 & 171062.9193 & 171062.9193 & 86.4759 & 0.0000 \\\hline \text { Residual } & 28 & 55388.4309 & 1978.1582 & & \\\hline \text { Total } & 29 & 226451.3503 & & \\\hline\end{array}


 SCENARIO 12-11 A computer software developer would like to use the number of downloads (in thousands) for the trial version of his new shareware to predict the amount of revenue (in thousands of dollars) he can make on the full version of the new shareware.Following is the output from a simple linear regression along with the residual plot and normal probability plot obtained from a data set of 30 different sharewares that he has developed:     \begin{array}{lr} {\text { Regression Statistics }} \\ \hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.8691 \\ \hline \text { R Square } & 0.7554 \\ \hline \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.7467 \\ \hline \text { Standard Error } & 44.4765 \\ \hline \text { Observations } & 30.0000 \\ \hline \end{array}    \text { ANOVA }    \begin{array}{|l|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline &\text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & F & \text { Significance } F \\  \hline \text { Regression } & 1 & 171062.9193 & 171062.9193 & 86.4759 & 0.0000 \\ \hline \text { Residual } & 28 & 55388.4309 & 1978.1582 & & \\ \hline \text { Total } & 29 & 226451.3503 & & \\ \hline \end{array}          Simple Linear Regression 12-41   -Referring to Scenario 12-11, there is sufficient evidence that revenue and the number of downloads are linearly related at a 5% level of significance.


 SCENARIO 12-11 A computer software developer would like to use the number of downloads (in thousands) for the trial version of his new shareware to predict the amount of revenue (in thousands of dollars) he can make on the full version of the new shareware.Following is the output from a simple linear regression along with the residual plot and normal probability plot obtained from a data set of 30 different sharewares that he has developed:     \begin{array}{lr} {\text { Regression Statistics }} \\ \hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.8691 \\ \hline \text { R Square } & 0.7554 \\ \hline \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.7467 \\ \hline \text { Standard Error } & 44.4765 \\ \hline \text { Observations } & 30.0000 \\ \hline \end{array}    \text { ANOVA }    \begin{array}{|l|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline &\text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & F & \text { Significance } F \\  \hline \text { Regression } & 1 & 171062.9193 & 171062.9193 & 86.4759 & 0.0000 \\ \hline \text { Residual } & 28 & 55388.4309 & 1978.1582 & & \\ \hline \text { Total } & 29 & 226451.3503 & & \\ \hline \end{array}          Simple Linear Regression 12-41   -Referring to Scenario 12-11, there is sufficient evidence that revenue and the number of downloads are linearly related at a 5% level of significance. Simple Linear Regression 12-41  SCENARIO 12-11 A computer software developer would like to use the number of downloads (in thousands) for the trial version of his new shareware to predict the amount of revenue (in thousands of dollars) he can make on the full version of the new shareware.Following is the output from a simple linear regression along with the residual plot and normal probability plot obtained from a data set of 30 different sharewares that he has developed:     \begin{array}{lr} {\text { Regression Statistics }} \\ \hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.8691 \\ \hline \text { R Square } & 0.7554 \\ \hline \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.7467 \\ \hline \text { Standard Error } & 44.4765 \\ \hline \text { Observations } & 30.0000 \\ \hline \end{array}    \text { ANOVA }    \begin{array}{|l|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline &\text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & F & \text { Significance } F \\  \hline \text { Regression } & 1 & 171062.9193 & 171062.9193 & 86.4759 & 0.0000 \\ \hline \text { Residual } & 28 & 55388.4309 & 1978.1582 & & \\ \hline \text { Total } & 29 & 226451.3503 & & \\ \hline \end{array}          Simple Linear Regression 12-41   -Referring to Scenario 12-11, there is sufficient evidence that revenue and the number of downloads are linearly related at a 5% level of significance.
-Referring to Scenario 12-11, there is sufficient evidence that revenue and the number of downloads are linearly related at a 5% level of significance.


Definitions:

Marginal Product

The additional output gained by employing one more unit of a particular input, keeping other inputs constant.

Bushels

A unit of volume that is used primarily in the United States for measuring agricultural commodities such as grains.

Long Run

An economic phase where all production elements and expenses can adjust completely, adapting to changes due to their variable nature.

Variable Inputs

Production factors that can be adjusted in the short term to change the level of output, such as labor and raw materials.

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