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A Company Believes There Is a 20% Chance the File

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A company believes there is a 20% chance the file modifications will be easy, a 40% chance that they will be moderately difficult and a 40% that they will be extremely difficult.Based on old files, modifications will be extensive or minor.Suppose the probabilities are as follows: P (Minor | Easy) = 0.80, P (Minor | Moderately Difficult)
= 0) 50 and P (Minor | Extremely Difficult) = 0.20.What is the probability that the difficulty of the file modifications and transfer will be extremely difficult given that the consultant believes the modifications required are extensive?

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Definitions:

Program Design

The process of creating a structured plan for a training or educational initiative, outlining objectives, content, materials, and assessment methods.

Apprenticeship

A system of training a new generation of practitioners of a trade or profession through on-the-job training and often some accompanying study.

Direct Costs

Expenses directly tied to the production of goods or provision of services, such as materials and labor.

Particular Department

Refers to a specific division or unit within an organization that focuses on a certain area of work or function.

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