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(Continuation from Chapter 4, Number 6)The Neoclassical Growth Model Predicts

question 53

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(Continuation from Chapter 4, number 6)The neoclassical growth model predicts
that for identical savings rates and population growth rates, countries should
converge to the per capita income level.This is referred to as the convergence
hypothesis.One way to test for the presence of convergence is to compare the
growth rates over time to the initial starting level.
(a)The results of the regression for 104 countries were as follows: g6090^=0.0190.0006×RelProd60,R2=0.00007,SER=0.016(0.004)(0.0073)\begin{aligned}\widehat { g 6090 } = & 0.019 - 0.0006 \times \operatorname { RelProd } _ { 60 } , R ^ { 2 } = 0.00007 , S E R = 0.016 \\& ( 0.004 ) ( 0.0073 )\end{aligned} where g6090g 6090 is the average annual growth rate of GDP per worker for the 19601960 - 1990 sample period, and RelProd60\operatorname { RelProd } _ { 60 } is GDP per worker relative to the United States in 1960. Numbers in parenthesis are heteroskedasticity robust standard errors. Using the OLS estimator with homoskedasticity-only standard errors, the results
changed as follows: g6090^=0.0190.0006×RelProd60,R2=0.00007,SER=0.016(0.002)(0.0068)\begin{aligned}\widehat { g 6090 } = & 0.019 - 0.0006 \times \operatorname { RelProd } _ { 60 } , R ^ { 2 } = 0.00007 , S E R = 0.016 \\& ( 0.002 ) ( 0.0068 )\end{aligned} Why didn't the estimated coefficients change? Given that the standard error of the
slope is now smaller, can you reject the null hypothesis of no beta convergence?
Are the results in the second equation more reliable than the results in the first
equation? Explain.


Definitions:

Aquifer

An underground layer of water-bearing permeable rock, rock fractures, or unconsolidated materials (gravel, sand, or silt) from which groundwater can be extracted.

Snowmelt

The process where accumulated snow and ice melt, often contributing to spring floods and replenishing rivers and aquifers.

Storm Runoff

This is the precipitation that flows over land surfaces and eventually enters water bodies, often carrying pollutants.

Freshwater

Water that has a low salt content, found in rivers, lakes, streams, and underground, essential for drinking, agriculture, and industry.

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