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SCENARIO 16-4
The number of cases of merlot wine sold by a Paso Robles winery in an 8-year period follows.
-Referring to Scenario 16-4,a centered 3-year moving average is to be constructed for the wine sales.The moving average for 2006 is .
Alpha Level
The probability of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis that is used by a researcher to decide whether an outcome of a study is statistically significant (most commonly, researchers use a probability of .05).
Statistical Significance
Rejection of the null hypothesis when an outcome has a low probability of occurrence (usually .05 or less) if, in fact, the null hypothesis is correct.
Probability Level
The threshold of significance, usually denoted as alpha (α), indicating the likelihood of observing the data if the null hypothesis is true.
Systematic Variance
The part of variance in a set of data that is attributable to identified sources or factors, as opposed to random or error variance.
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