SCENARIO 5-12
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

question 35

Short Answer

SCENARIO 5-12
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table. $$\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Scenario 5-12, if you decide to choose Design A for 70% of the production lines and
Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the expected profit?

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Definitions:

52-Card Deck

A standard deck of playing cards used in many card games, consisting of four suits: hearts, diamonds, clubs, and spades, each with 13 ranks from Ace through King.

Draw

To produce a picture or diagram by making lines and marks on paper with a pencil, pen, etc., or within the context of games, a result in which opponents finish with equal scores.

Spades

A suit in a standard deck of playing cards, identified by its black, pointed leaf shape symbol.

Dealt

Distributed or administered in a specific manner.