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SCENARIO 5-12
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

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SCENARIO 5-12
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table.  Probability  Taste  Design A  Design B 0.2 more conservative 1805200.5 no change 2303100.3 more liberal 350270\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}
-Referring to Scenario 5-12 if you decide to choose Design A for 70% of the production lines and
Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the risk of your investment?

Acknowledge that creative thinking and successful communication can be developed through learning and practice.
Recognize the need for comprehensive situation analysis including audience, purpose, and challenges in business communication.
Understand that successful business communication often involves persuasion and achieving specific results.
Recognize the importance of the revision process and feedback in improving business communication quality.

Definitions:

Risk Factor

Anything that increases the likelihood of developing a disease or injury.

Depression

A common mental health disorder characterized by persistently depressed mood or loss of interest in activities, causing significant impairment in daily life.

Defence Mechanism

A psychological strategy used unconsciously by individuals to protect themselves from anxiety or social sanctions and to manage emotional conflicts.

Undoing

A psychological defense mechanism where an individual attempts to 'undo' an unacceptable thought or action by acting in a manner that counterbalances or negates it.

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