Answer the Question About the Law of Large Numbers

question 7

Multiple Choice

Answer the question about the Law of Large Numbers.
-John decides to play the state lotto, which requires the purchaser to select six numbers between 1 and 50. he selects 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4 for his numbers, believing that these are just as likely as any other series of six numbers between 1 and 50. He also notes that these numbers have not yet been selected as winning numbers. What can we accurately say about John's choice of numbers?
A. It is a reasonable choice.
B. It is an unreasonable choice, since a series of six 4s is very unlikely.
C. It is a reasonable choice, because these numbers are due to be picked.
D. It is a unreasonable choice, because these numbers have never been picked before.

• A)d
• B)a
• C)b
• D)c

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Definitions:

Gain-Loss Theory

A social psychological theory suggesting that an increase or decrease in the perceived value or approval from others influences attraction and emotional reactions.

Compliment Hypothesis

A proposition suggesting that positive feedback or flattery can enhance the effectiveness of a persuasive message.

Self-Esteem

A measure of how much you value and respect yourself.

Perceived Similarity

The extent to which individuals believe they share common attributes, beliefs, or interests with others.