Suppose That You and a Friend Read the Following Statement

question 45

Essay

Suppose that you and a friend read the following statement in a news report, "A recent poll found that 54% of voters, give or take 3%, plan to vote for candidate X in the next election (with a confidence level of 95%)". Your friend then makes the statement, "Hey, look, there's a 95% chance that somewhere between 51% and 57% of voters plan to vote for candidate X!" How would you explain to your friend why his statement is incorrect, be sure to provide your friend with the correct interpretation of the confidence interval.

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Definitions:

Temporary Expression

A short-term display or manifestation of feelings, thoughts, or behaviors.

Personality Characteristic

A feature or quality that forms an individual's distinctive character, often influencing behavior and attitudes.

California Psychological Inventory

A criterion-constructed assessment used to measure more normal characteristics of personality and to emphasize positive aspects of personality in individuals ages 13 and older.

Interpersonal Behavior

Refers to the way individuals act and interact with others in social settings, encompassing communication, social skills, and relationship dynamics.