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The Probability That House Sales Will Increase in the Next

question 54

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The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The events increase in house sales and increase in interest rates in the next 6 months are


Definitions:

Premium

An amount paid for an insurance policy or an additional cost above the nominal value of a security or financial instrument.

TIPS Bond

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, a type of U.S. treasury bond that is indexed to inflation to protect investors from the negative effects of rising prices.

Nominal Rate of Return

The yield from an investment prior to considering inflation adjustments.

Treasury Bond

A long-term, fixed-interest government security with a maturity of more than ten years, considered a safe investment.

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