Lauren Got an a on Her Math Test, Better Than

question 43

Multiple Choice

Lauren got an A on her math test, better than she expected based on her SAT math score of 500 and her C average in math courses overall. She said, "Wow, I am really getting better at math. I think I am a B math student now." Lauren has MOST likely made the thinking error of _____ while judging her math ability.

• A) misuse of the availability heuristic
• B) believing in the law of large numbers
• C) committing the conjunction fallacy
• D) ignoring regression to the mean

---

Definitions:

Mediation

A neutral party tries to help conflicting parties improve communication to resolve their dispute.

Neutral Third Party

An unbiased individual or entity not directly involved in a situation who may help mediate or arbitrate disputes.

Distributive Negotiations

A negotiation process focusing on dividing limited resources or reaching an agreement where one party's gain is the other party's loss.

Arbitration

A method of dispute resolution where an impartial third party makes a binding decision.