Compute the Expected Value of Perfect Information -What Is the Expected Opportunity Loss for the 1-Year ARM

question 36

Multiple Choice

Compute the expected value of perfect information.
Use the below information to answer the following question(s) . Below is a payoff table with three mortgage options: $$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | } \hline & { \text { Outcome } } \\\hline \text { Probability } & { \mathbf { 0 . 6 } } & { \mathbf { 0 . 3 } } & { \mathbf { 0 . 1 } } \\\hline \text { Decision } & \text { Rates Rise } & \text { Rates Stable } & \text { Rates Fall } \\\hline \text { 1-year ARM } & \$ 66,645 & \$ 43,650 & \$ 38,560 \\\hline \text { 3-year ARM } & \$ 62,857 & \$ 47,698 & \$ 42,726 \\\hline \text { 30-year fixed } & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-What is the expected opportunity loss for the 1-year ARM?

• A) $ 7,979.60
• B) $ 3,959.40
• C) $ 6,853.50
• D) $ 8,621.40

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Definitions:

Spending Power

Spending power, also known as purchasing power, is the ability of an individual or group to buy goods and services, often influenced by income levels and economic conditions.

Production Factors

Resources used in the process of creating goods or services, traditionally classified into land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship.

Gross Domestic Product

A measure of the economic performance of a country, calculated by adding the total value of all goods and services produced within that country over a specific period.

Gross National Product

The total value of all goods and services produced by a country's residents and businesses, including those produced abroad.